As someone who has covered major championships for over a decade, I’ve built this page to help Canadian fans navigate everything surrounding the US Open Golf 2026. Here you’ll find a curated, trustworthy overview of how and where to follow the tournament from Canada, along with expert context on what to expect from this year’s field. Everything presented here is based on my own research and long-standing experience with the event, and it’s designed to give you a clear, safe and reliable reference point—free to use and focused solely on delivering value to golf enthusiasts.
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2025 US Open: What Makes This Year Unique
The 125th US Open returns to Oakmont Country Club, bringing unique challenges that will test both golf enthusiasts and betting strategies. Let's take a closer look at what makes this year's tournament special.
Oakmont returns as host: course setup and challenges
The 2025 US Open marks a milestone as Oakmont hosts the championship for a record 10th time. This Pittsburgh-area gem has earned its place as "the hardest golf course in America". The course's tough setup has allowed only 2% of competitors to finish under par in its US Open history.
Players face a par-70 layout that stretches to 7,372 yards with narrow Fairways just 28 yards wide. They need to guide through 168 strategically placed bunkers, including the famous "Church Pews" bunker that spans over 100 yards long and 40 yards wide.
Key Course Challenges:
- Five-inch thick rough with no graduated setup - players find either fairway or punishment
- Greens run at 14+ on the Stimpmeter - some of the fastest in championship golf
- Par-3 eighth hole might play at 289-300 yards - the longest par-3 in major championship golf
- Gil Hanse's 2023 renovation adds new hole locations to test players' precision
Weather forecast and its effect on play
Weather adds another challenge for bettors analyzing potential outcomes. Pittsburgh has seen its wettest spring on record, and the tournament week forecast shows:
| Day | Conditions | Temperature | Precipitation Chance | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thursday | Hazy sunshine | 63-87°F | 20% (after 2pm) | 4-8 mph |
| Friday | Hazy, humid | 65-85°F | 40% | 3-6 mph |
| Saturday | Storms likely | 67-77°F | 100% | 3-6 mph |
| Sunday | Cloudy, humid | 63-79°F | 60% | 6-12 mph |
The USGA now offers refunds for Saturday tickets due to predicted very wet conditions. Players who excel in changing weather could offer value opportunities, especially during Saturday's third round.
Why this year's field is more competitive than ever
Competition has reached new heights with a record 10,202 golfers trying to qualify for Oakmont. The field includes players from various paths to qualification, from 50-year-old Justin Hicks to teenager Mason Howell who turns 18 just two weeks after the tournament.
Korn Ferry Tour player Alistair Docherty's story stands out. He qualified despite surviving a horrific car accident just six days before his final qualifying round. This mental strength could prove valuable on a course that world #1 Scottie Scheffler calls "probably the hardest golf course that we'll play, maybe even ever".
Smart bettors should focus on players with strong course management, mental toughness, and adaptability to changing conditions when placing their US Open bets.
Top 3 Favorites and Why They’re Dominating the Odds
The 2025 US Open betting boards tell an interesting story. Three names stand out at major sportsbooks. These players lead the betting markets, and there are solid reasons behind their positions at the top.

Scottie Scheffler: Consistency and recent form
Scheffler stands as the clear betting favorite at +275 at Oakmont, and with good reason too. Nobody matches his statistical dominance on the PGA Tour. He leads in Strokes Gained: Total (2.45), Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green (2.19), and Greens in Regulation (72.6%). His precision with long irons makes him especially dangerous at Oakmont. He averages just 3.8 feet from the hole on approaches from 200+ yards.
The US Open's challenges suit Scheffler's temperament perfectly. He stays calm even when Oakmont's notorious greens create scoring frustrations. His putting shows dramatic improvement since his early-season struggles. He now ranks 14th in Strokes Gained: Putting over his last 20 rounds.
Bryson DeChambeau: Defending champion's edge
The betting markets place DeChambeau at +750 as defending champion. His unique edge at Oakmont comes from a powerful game combined with delicate touch around those lightning-fast greens. DeChambeau's preparation focuses specifically on Oakmont's challenging setup.
"I've spent three separate practice sessions at Oakmont already this year," DeChambeau revealed. "The Church Pews bunker requires specialized practice—it's unlike anything else in golf."
The bookmakers respect his chances based on impressive stats. He ranks 2nd in driving distance (323.5 yards), 7th in Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green, and 12th in accuracy from 100-125 yards - a notable improvement from previous seasons.
Rory McIlroy: Redemption arc or fading momentum?
McIlroy sits at +1000 and presents bettors with quite a puzzle. His Oakmont history shows promise with a T9 finish in 2016. His ball-striking remains elite (3rd in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee). However, his inconsistent putting on fast surfaces raises red flags. He ranks 112th in Strokes Gained: Putting on greens running 13+ on the Stimpmeter.
Recent tournaments reveal a troubling pattern of Sunday collapses. He posted three final-round scores over 74 in his last five events. Still, seasoned bettors see potential for redemption. His practice rounds feature a new putting grip and stance.
| Player | Current Odds | SG: Total | Key Oakmont Strength | Major Form (Last 3) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scheffler | +275 | 2.45 | Iron play precision | 1-2-T4 |
| DeChambeau | +750 | 1.87 | Power + short game | 1-T8-T12 |
| McIlroy | +1000 | 1.65 | Driving accuracy | T6-T15-T22 |
Best US Open Golf Betting Sites 2025
Your choice of US Open betting platform can substantially affect your betting experience and potential returns. I've looked at dozens of sportsbooks and found four outstanding betting sites for the 2025 US Open. These platforms excel in odds, features, and golf-specific betting options.
1. bet365
bet365 leads the global sports betting market with competitive lines and reliable customer service. Golf bettors will find their mobile app perfect for placing tournament wagers. The platform's flexible each-way betting with multiple place options for golf tournaments sets it apart from other bookmakers.
Key Features:
- Same Match Parlays to combine multiple tournament bets
- Rich selection of prop bets beyond standard markets
- Best outright winner odds compared to other platforms
bet365's 2025 US Open promotion gives new users a "First Bet Safety Net" worth CAD 139.34 in Bonus Bets. You can also Bet CAD 13.93 to get CAD 69.67 in Bonus Bets - whatever the outcome of your first bet.
2. Sports Interaction
This Canadian sportsbook caters to northern golf enthusiasts with a hometown betting experience. The platform shines with its Live betting hub that shows updated odds as players tackle Oakmont's challenging layout.
New users can claim their "No Sweat First Bet" promotion with up to CAD 557.34 in Bonus Bets through first bet insurance. The platform's detailed stats and trends help you make smarter betting decisions.
3. TonyBet
TonyBet stands out with the best odds on prop bets in the tennis betting market, which works great for their golf offerings. Their platform has detailed game statistics to help you make smart betting choices.
TonyBet welcomes new users with a deposit match up to CAD 975.35 for the 2025 US Open. This gives you plenty of bankroll to try their various betting markets.
4. BetVictor
BetVictor brings decades of experience and offers one of the most detailed golf betting experiences. The platform has course information, tee times, season stats, and interactive hole-by-hole overviews.
New users can get a "Safety Net Up To CAD 557.34" through first bet insurance. BetVictor claims to be "the best place to bet on golf online" with their wide range of golf odds and bonus offers.
| Betting Site | Welcome Bonus | Top Feature | Best For |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | First Bet Safety Net CAD 139.34 | Flexible each-way betting | Overall value |
| Sports Interaction | No Sweat First Bet up to CAD 557.34 | Exclusive markets | Canadian bettors |
| TonyBet | Deposit Match up to CAD 975.35 | Best prop bet odds | Variety seekers |
| BetVictor | Safety Net Up To CAD 557.34 | Interactive course views | Golf specialists |
8 Expert Picks That Bookmakers Don’t Want You to Know
Look beyond the obvious favorites and you'll find hidden gems with great betting value. These eight expert picks highlight opportunities that bookmakers often miss, and they give smart bettors a real shot at profit.
1. A sleeper pick with strong course history
Adam Scott looks like a steal at +8000. His track record at Oakmont speaks volumes - T8 in 2007 and T18 in 2016 show he knows these tricky greens well. He ranks 4th in Strokes Gained: Approach over his last 24 rounds, which is vital at Oakmont where precise iron play makes all the difference.
2. A first-round leader specialist
Keegan Bradley shines on Thursdays and has led after round one in three tournaments this season. His early tee time (7:29am) lets him play on pristine greens before they deteriorate. Bradley tops all tour professionals with a 68.1 opening-round scoring average.
3. A top-10 finisher with long odds
Hideki Matsuyama (+275 for Top 10) looks like a bargain given his major championship record—Eight top-10 finishes in his last 15 majors. His careful approach matches Oakmont's challenges perfectly, as shown by his 12th-ranked Bogey Avoidance metric.
4. A player with strong stats but low public attention
Corey Conners hasn't caught much attention at +6600 despite impressive numbers. He ranks 3rd in Fairways Hit (69.8%) and 7th in Greens in Regulation (71.2%). These accuracy stats point to success at Oakmont where recovery shots are brutal.
5. A past champion flying under the radar
Martin Kaymer (+12500) seems forgotten despite his 2014 US Open victory. He's showing better form lately with three top-25 finishes, and his ball-striking stats rank among the European Tour's best.
6. A young talent with breakout potential
Ludvig Åberg could be a steal at +3300. This Swedish phenom Leads all players in Total Driving while ranking 5th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green over his last 36 rounds.
7. A LIV Tour player with something to prove
Patrick Reed (+6600) runs on tough course setups. His impressive 72.1% successful recovery rate will help at Oakmont, where he'll be extra motivated against PGA Tour regulars.
8. A weather-adaptable golfer for changing conditions
Shane Lowry knows how to handle tough weather, as proven by his 2019 Open Championship win in harsh conditions. He plays 1.12 strokes better than the field average in 15+ mph winds, which could be key during Oakmont's expected Saturday storms.
| Player | Current Odds | Key Stat | Best Betting Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scott | +8000 | 4th SG: Approach | Outright/Top 20 |
| Bradley | +4500 | 1st R1 Scoring Avg | First Round Leader |
| Matsuyama | +2800 | 12th Bogey Avoidance | Top 10 Finish |
| Conners | +6600 | 3rd Fairways Hit | Top 20 Finish |
| Kaymer | +12500 | Top 10 Ball-Striking (ET) | Outright/Top 40 |
| Åberg | +3300 | 1st Total Driving | Top 10/Nationality |
| Reed | +6600 | 72.1% Scrambling | Head-to-Head |
| Lowry | +5000 | 1.12 Wind Advantage | Top 20/Make Cut |
Betting Strategies for the US Open 2025
Smart bettors take a different approach to the US Open compared to casual fans. Here's how professionals plan their US Open bets to maximize value.
How to read value in outright winner markets
Successful bettors know that picking winners goes beyond selecting favorites - it's about finding positive expected value. Players with strong approach play, exceptional bogey avoidance, and putting prowess on fast greens should be your priority at Oakmont. The top-five favorites have claimed all six major wins since 2024, so you should distribute your bankroll wisely.
Using head-to-head matchups to your advantage
Head-to-head bets typically bring more consistent returns than outright winners. Course-specific stats matter more than overall rankings when you evaluate matchups. Harris English makes a strong case against Matt Fitzpatrick because of his superior rankings - 19th in SG: Putting, 30th in total driving and 40th in bogey avoidance. Fitzpatrick lags behind at 141st in bogey avoidance and 119th in SG: Putting.
Live betting: when to jump in and when to wait
Live betting creates opportunities because bookmakers can't adjust odds fast enough. They often just count remaining holes without factoring in potential birdie opportunities. The predicted Saturday storms at Oakmont also give you a perfect chance to back players who adapt well to weather while others struggle.
Avoiding common betting traps in majors
Common Mistakes to Avoid:
- Too many outright winner bets instead of place markets
- Not factoring in course-specific needs (Oakmont favors power hitters)
- Betting on popular names just because others do (like an out-of-form Brooks Koepka)
- Missing head-to-head value (Jordan Spieth looks better than Justin Thomas at even odds)
Quick Comparison Table: Odds, Picks, and Value Bets
The betting market shows some fascinating patterns in odds across major platforms. Let's get into how oddsmakers have priced the top players.
Table: Top 5 players and their odds
| Player | Caesars | FanDuel | DraftKings | BetRivers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | +280 | +275 | +280 | +275 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +700 | +800 | +750 | +700 |
| Rory McIlroy | +1100 | +1100 | +950 | +1000 |
| Jon Rahm | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 |
| Xander Schauffele | +2200 | +1800 | +2000 | +2200 |
Table: Expert picks vs. bookmaker favorites
| Expert Pick | Current Odds | Expert Reasoning | Bookmaker Ranking |
|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Morikawa | +2200/+2500 | 4th in accuracy, 5th in approach | 6th-7th favorite |
| Keegan Bradley | +8000/+10000 | Back-to-back top-10s, elite ball-striking | Outside top 20 |
| Harris English | +10000 | Excels on tough courses, recent major success | Outside top 25 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +4000 | No missed cuts this season | 9th-10th favorite |
| Ben Griffin | +7000 | Three straight top-10s including a win | 19th-20th favorite |
Table: Best value bets by category
| Bet Type | Recommended Pick | Odds | Key Stat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Outright Winner | Shane Lowry | +4000/+5000 | T2 at Oakmont in 2016 |
| Top 10 Finish | Xander Schauffele | +210 | 7 top-10s in 8 US Opens |
| Make Cut Parlay | Fleetwood/English | -104 | English: Never missed US Open cut |
| First Round Leader | Scottie Scheffler | +150 | Top 10 in 91% of recent major rounds |
| Top 5 Finish | Scottie Scheffler | -140 | 19 top-5s in 31 starts since 2024 |
Market comparisons reveal several mispriced opportunities. Players with outstanding approach statistics remain undervalued by bookmakers, though elite ball-strikers usually perform better at Oakmont.
Conclusion
Oakmont's legendary difficulty creates unique challenges for players and bettors at the 2025 US Open. The course features narrow fairways, lightning-fast greens, and strategic bunker placements that just need exceptional precision from competitors. Statistical analysis becomes your best tool when you place US Open bets.
Scottie Scheffler leads as the favorite at +275, but smart bettors should look beyond the obvious picks. Sleeper picks like Adam Scott (+8000) and Keegan Bradley (+4500) bring great value based on their course history and statistical profiles. Their precision metrics line up with what Oakmont needs.
Your betting strategy should include weather factors too. Saturday's forecasted storms could shake up the leaderboard, making Shane Lowry's proven skills in tough conditions worth a look at +5000. Head-to-head matchups often give safer returns than outright winners in major championships.
The betting sites we looked at – bet365, Sports Interaction, TonyBet, and BetVictor – each shine in different ways. Bet365 stands out with flexible each-way betting options. BetVictor gives you great golf-specific details through their interactive course views.








